Formula 1 Insight

Qualifying for the Belgian GP 2009
29/08/2009

What a wonderful place is Spa-Francorchamps. The circuit exudes atmosphere and history, the memories of brilliant races and wonderful moments piling in upon us as we view the swooping curves, the steep gradients amongst the forested hills of the Ardennes. I cannot see the Eau Rouge corner without instantly recalling the sight of Andrea de Cesaris at the very limit of adhesion, powering through the dip and up the hill in the gorgeous Alfa Romeo 183T, leading the race (and the field for dead) and apparently unbeatable.

Giancarlo Fisichella
Giancarlo Fisichella

That was one of the most unlikely scenarios ever seen in F1, de Cesaris and the Alfa both being regarded as quick but hopelessly unpredictable and fragile. On that day, however, Andrea was magnificent, especially through Eau Rouge, never putting a foot wrong although on the razor edge of disaster; it was one of those great injustices of life that the Alfa should have remained true to its reputation, the engine going bang just as we began to think it possible that de Cesaris might win this one.

How fitting then that this great circuit should provide us with another example of the impossible happening before our eyes. Another Italian, Giancarlo Fisichella, has astounded us all by putting his Force India into pole position. We knew the car had been getting better all season and this weekend it has been right up there at the sharp end in practice, but who would have guessed that old Fizzy would have the beating of the entire field? If Brawn's early season success was a fairy tale, this was the stuff of sheer fantasy.

I am a sucker for the underdog and I smiled as the great ones failed to get near Fisichella's time. Alianora, long a supporter of the team in its various disguises, must have raised her household's metaphorical roof when it became clear that her hopes had been answered at last. Regardless of fuel loads, this was an achievement to be treasured in memory.

The Toyotas, too, came good on this high speed track, and Jarno Trulli reminded us of his qualifying reputation by grabbing second fastest. Indeed, it was veterans' day out, Nick Heidfeld too showing his younger team mate the way as he put the BMW into third spot. If the three were to finish in that order, it would be the oldest podium F1 has seen in many a year.

We wait to see how much influence light fuel loads had on this most unlikely of grids but, for a moment, there is no harm in savoring a season that can produce as many upsets as has 2009. Let those who complained of the predictability of Button's wins in the first few races remember that nothing is guaranteed in F1. Jenson himself found it impossible to get the best from the BGP 001 and languishes down in 14th spot. How the mighty are fallen.

He was not the only one, however, names such as Hamilton and Alonso being amongst those who failed to progress beyond Q2. The blame fell on sector 2, all of the top three cars being quick through its twists whereas the McLarens, Ferraris, Renaults and Red Bulls lost great chunks of time in that part of the circuit.

It now looks as though Barrichello is Button's greatest threat for the championship, the Brazilian's fourth spot promising a good points haul. And the Red Bull challenge fades as Vettel and Webber could manage no better than eighth and ninth on the grid. Spa may be only one race but Monza looms in the future and form there is likely to be similar.

All things considered, this was the most exciting and interesting qualifying period we have seen all year - and there have been some great ones. We thought F1 had been shaken up when Brawn emerged so far ahead as the season began but it seems the shaking has not stopped. All we need now is for Fizzy or Quick Nick to win the race...

Clive

Nick Goodspeed
I'm happy for the top three but can't help but wonder about fuel loads, light weight being the order for high speed cornering.
I feel there are far too many variables at play in present F1, leaving far too many openings for yellow flags, safety cars and the like to influence the outcome of races. Let's hope for these top three to finish where they qualified!


Date Added: 29/08/2009

Hezla
Fizzy or Quick Nick.
Hmm, well Toyota could also need a win, so I will go for Trulli, but I think Kimi also will be on the podium. He is always strong here.

My guess for tomorrow:
Trulli
Fizzy
Kimi

Clive, You can then have Nick at 4th place.
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Roger Carballo AKA Architrion
Let me put the pepper on this wonderful menu, bro. It's been said that this unexplainable qualifying session and this more incredible grid had something to do with an unfair advantage given by the FIA and the Bernie in form of special tyres for this race. Maybe that noisy river brings water after all. We know that BMW is on his way to say goodbye, just to be followed by Toyota and Force India. This race would be some kind of air to breathe, a rescue plan for those teams. In fact, there was a FOTA meeting after the quali just to discuss all these issues......

My mind is with the conspiracy theory here. Why? Because you can have an upgraded Force India with a stunning pole here. Or maybe, a revitalised BMW making you happy with quickNick as the fastest in the camp. Or a furious Trulli showing those nippos what a brilliant old serious racer can do when his seat is under threat. But to have the three at the same time.... man, that is a bit too much to be true. After all, children don't come from Paris.
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Nick Goodspeed
At the moment, an encyclopedia of conspiracy theories could be written pertaining to F1. I have boiled them all down to this:
F1 doesn't really exist. It used to. I know because I saw it quite a few times here, in Canada. It is a local gambling scam and/or T-shirt pedaller who's been tossed out of the USA. I'm pretty sure it's run from the abandoned Marks & Spencers that's been boarded up for so long. The only other possibility is that it is a virtual serial run by Scalextric.
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Roger Carballo AKA Architrion
LOL Nick. I'm with you...
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Clive
Nick: Well, the fuel weights are out now (see F1 Fanatic's excellent calculation of first stint laps) and prove that Fizzy set the pole lap on a very light tank, just as we suspected. Both Trulli and Heidfeld are set to go a few more laps before stopping, so Giancarlo will have to build a big early lead if he is to remain in contention for the win. Even so, it would be great to see Force India score points at last.

Barrichello, Kubica and Glock are very light too and dependent on good starts and luck with traffic therefore. Raikkonen has a similar fuel load to Heidfeld and Trulli and could be in contention for the podium if he can pass a few cars at the start. Yesterday I had a funny feeling that Kimi was the one to bet on for this race - we shall see.

The Red Bull boys and Rosberg went for long first stints, obviously convinced that they had no serious chance of pole and the Q1 and Q2 qualifiers are all heavy as usual (with Nakajima heaviest, naturally).

You know who I want to win (go Nick!) and I just wish that premonition about Raikkonen would go away...
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Clive
Hezla: Trulli had his chance to win in Bahrain - this time it should go to Nick!
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Clive
Roger: Conspiracy theories are good fun but rarely bear any relation to reality. For FOTA or the FIA to arrange for the three hard luck teams of F1 to be so neatly at the front of the grid seems to me to be stretching things too far. Call me a romantic if you will, but I prefer to believe that Spa, the greatest circuit of them all, has sorted the men from the boys yet again. ;)
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Clive
Nick (again): And NASA never really put a man on the moon - it was all created in an aircraft hangar in Arizona... :D
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Lobo
What a surprise it is to see Fisico up there and Forza India of all teams winning the pole position. Would it be that Giancarlo smelled the air and sensed this could be his only chance to drive a Ferrari? And if that's the case and his six sense will prove him right what an opportunity for Fizzi to debut at the command of the red car in front of an italian crowd ...
Date Added: 29/08/2009

Pink Peril
God I love Spa ! Never fails to dish up a corker, and this year it didn't even have to wait for the race to start ! Just a thought, if Rubens had made the top three, we would have had the three oldest drivers on the grid at the front of the pack. Has that ever happened before?




Date Added: 30/08/2009

Clive
Lobo: No doubt Fizzy will leap at the chance if offered the Ferrari seat until Massa returns - but I'm not so sure it would be the correct decision. On this showing, the Force India is better than the Ferrari on fast circuits and Monza would be Fizzy's debut in the red car. How embarrassing it would be if he were to be beaten by Liuzzi, FIF1's test driver, at such a venue...
Date Added: 30/08/2009

Clive
Peril: Almost certainly during the fifties, when most of the drivers were much older than they are now. Fangio is a given, of course. I'm not a great one for statistics, however, so I can't give you chapter and verse.
Date Added: 30/08/2009

Pootle
That was a welcome suprise, watched F1 on iPlayer as I usually do, expecting the usual run of the mill qualifying and probably race tommorrow but I was wrong.

So glad that this has happened for Fisi, one of my favourite drivers for years in the paddock and looking at those fuel figures, it's honestly staggering he's out-qualified Barrichello with vertually the same fuel.

The old guy's still got it, eh.
Date Added: 30/08/2009

Björn Svensson
i have a theory to add here.

The common thinking in F1 today seems to be that the younger the driver, the better. But maybe the teams should beging to rethink this?

To have drivers with a little more experience may be the way forward.

Needless to say, Romain Grosjean could prove me wrong here in the next few races, but i still think it would be good to let the youngsters keep racing in the lower series a few more years.

Congratulations Fisicella, you have earned this!
Date Added: 30/08/2009

michael
CONSPIRACY? Joe Saward could top this one

Oh Dear just read a note from http://joesaward.wordpress.com/2009/08/30/oh-dear-here-comes-trouble/#comment-2606
site and if true it would place Nick Goodspeeds assessments right on the mark - BINGO spot on. Should this tale come to fruition then F1 is as good as dead. This bombastic accusation puts Alonso yet again into the center of more than just a mere controversy and makes a right joke out of Liar Gate. But it will kill F1 make it as pleasantly straightforward as watching a Don King fight.
Date Added: 30/08/2009

aracerdude
Thank You Clive for willing Ferrari to victory!

FORZA FERRARI and FORZA CLIVE!
Date Added: 31/08/2009

Hezla
SPA, What a race - the best race this season so far.
Why can't we have 17-20 races like that pr. season.

Great race by Fisi and Kimi

Clive, you predicted right. Kimi won.

But there is one thing I am thinking about when you hear Kimi's comments after the race regarding the move on Fisi after the safety car period.

"I knew that I had to get past him because we were on the same strategy," he explained.

But when you look at the start weights.

Fisi 648 kg
Kimi 655 kg

then you should think that Kimi should pit some laps later than Fisi. Which also F1 Fanatic predicted in his analysis of the start weights.

Maybe it is Kimi' Ferrari engine that uses more fuel than Fisi' Mercedes engine and Kimi already knew that.

This could really be a problem for Ferrari next year when refuelling is not allowed.

Or, welll, I don't know the weight of Kimi and Fisi, only that Kimi should have lost some kilos before this season because of KERS. Maybe he is still heavier than Fisi and all these calculations regarding first pitstop doesn't use the drivers weights.

Anyway fuel efficiency will play a bigger role next year.
Date Added: 31/08/2009

Clive
Pootle" I think of you whenever Fisichella does well - there was a time when he was regarded as the bright young hope of F1 and it is good to see that he can still produce the goods when the car is right.

You're right, the old guy still has it.
Date Added: 31/08/2009

Clive
Björn: I think we're emerging from a period in which young drivers were favoured by team managers much more than of old. That was caused by the success of drivers like Alonso, Vettel and Hamilton but, of course, not all new drivers are as good as they proved to be. This year is almost the year of the veteran, with the old names lining up to win races and I think teams will go for a mixture of youth and experience in future. It just makes more sense than having two newbies in the cars.
Date Added: 31/08/2009

Clive
Michael: There may be something in the story as the FIA are investigating it. And, if it proves to be true, it could be as big a scandal as the Ferrari documents affair, just as you say.

Poor old F1 - will it ever be free of all this nonsense?
Date Added: 31/08/2009

Clive
Aracer: Well, I didn't actually will them to victory (that's your job!) - just had a certainty at the back of my mind that Kimi would win this time. Anyway, there's more to it than that as you know, having read my later post on the GP... ;)
Date Added: 31/08/2009

Clive
Hezla: I, too, don't understand how Kimi could have been so sure he and Fizzy were on the same fuel strategies. If the Force India had even one more lap in it than the Ferrari, Fisichella might have been able to get past Raikkonen through putting in a very fast lap. Perhaps the spies had done their work well... ;)
Date Added: 31/08/2009

Alianora La Canta
I am absolutely sure that the Ferrari consumes more fuel than the Mercedes (or indeed any other engine in the field). Despite the Safety Car, the Ferrari drivers only managed to eke out a mean of 2.667 laps more than the F1 Yearbook 2008-2009's data suggested was possible. The Mercedes drivers (or at least the two for which data was collectible) managed a mean of 4.5 laps more than suggested. Considering how few laps the two-stopping drivers were doing before their first stop, that is a big difference.

If it weren't for the amount of fuel Giancarlo was able to save in the first stint of the race with his engine and his technique (he managed to go five laps further than predicted, which is even more than the Mercedes mean), he would have had to stop a considerable time before he did and therefore lost the race.

The only point I can think of where Force India could have realistically got another lap into the car (and thus won the race) was at the end of qualifying. Remember that nail-biting end to the session? Well, Giancarlo was the last car round to complete the final lap - which wasn't as fast as his previous one. If Force India had seen what was coming and called him in at the last moment, Giancarlo wouldn't have needed to expend a lap of fuel getting back.

However, it is difficult for me to blame Force India for missing the opportunity - judging by Vijay Mallya's expression, for example, they probably thought they were dreaming the whole scenario in the first place. Clive alluded to my probable reaction in the original entry:

Alianora, long a supporter of the team in its various disguises, must have raised her household's metaphorical roof when it became clear that her hopes had been answered at last.

I didn't actually raise the roof, largely because I was still trying to get my breath back at the end of Q3. It did take me a fair while to unstick myself from the living room ceiling though - luckily Mum covered it in wooden floorboards some time ago, so it was quite comfy! It took considerably longer to start typing coherently again though, and even today I've caught myself grinning about the weekend at odd moments. Such is the sweetness of being a Force India and Fisichella fan right now :)
Date Added: 02/09/2009

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